As college football ushers in a transformative 2024 season with the introduction of a 12-team playoff system, the dynamics of the sport are set for a major overhaul. This expansion from the traditional four-team format opens up unprecedented opportunities for less recognized programs to vie for national recognition. This article examines the new playoff system in college football along with some of the favorites and dark horses that could hoist the trophy come January.
The Expanded Playoff System
The new playoff format, debuting in the 2024-25 season, represents a seismic shift in college football’s postseason. The champions from the four power conferences (SEC, Big Ten, Big 12, ACC) along with the highest-ranked non-power conference winner will join seven at-large bids based on the playoff committee’s rankings. This is a stark contrast to the previous system, which often marginalized non-power conference teams despite strong performances throughout the season. For example, the New Mexico Lobos odds are something to monitor as they could wind up in the playoff if they win the Mountain West and are ranked higher than other non-power conference champions. It also helps power conference schools that go undefeated during the regular season but still get left out of the playoff, as was the case with Florida State and Georgia last year.
The broader inclusion is set to foster greater inclusivity and a competitive balance, enriching the college football landscape and ensuring that excellence, regardless of conference affiliation, is rewarded. This adjustment not only enhances the excitement of the sport but also encourages programs to strengthen their schedules and competitiveness in hopes of securing these coveted playoff spots.
Favorites Going Into 2024
When the first AP poll comes out, it will more than likely be topped by Georgia and Ohio State. These two schools are bringing back an incredible amount of talent and also took advantage of the transfer portal in the offseason. Georgia is led by Heisman candidate Carson Beck at quarterback, who is expected to guide Georgia to another SEC title game appearance. Meanwhile, Ohio State will look to build upon their dominant defense, led by linebacker C.J. Hicks and cornerback Denzel Burke. Their offense will also feature a new look with offensive coordinator Chip Kelly, known for his fast-paced rhythm which benefits speed. Transfer quarterback Will Howard will have plenty of weapons at his disposal, even with the loss of Marvin Harrison Jr.
Additionally, Texas and Oregon are also expected to be threats in 2024. Texas is coming off a playoff appearance in 2023 and got excellent news in the offseason when quarterback Quinn Ewers announced his return. Oregon, meanwhile, is expected to be a contender with a Heisman candidate of their own at quarterback, Dillon Gabriel, who is transferring over from Oklahoma.
Potential Dark Horses
Notre Dame has had an excellent recruiting season and landed some impactful transfers that could elevate that to being a serious national contender. Riley Leonard comes over from Duke and will be coached by former LSU offensive coordinator Mike Denbrock, who helped elevate Jayden Daniels’ career. The Irish have also replaced a weak wide-receiving corps with some high-quality transfers, including Kris Mitchell.
Ole Miss is another dark horse to watch in 2024. Lane Kiffin continues to thrive in recruiting and the team is expected to open the season in the top 10. Quarterback Jaxson Dart is poised to take the next step and lead an offense that is ready to challenge the likes of Georgia and Texas in the SEC.
With non-power conference schools being invited into the Playoff, the list of dark horses will expand to schools we don’t normally consider playoff contenders. Coming off a Fiesta Bowl appearance last year, Liberty is expected to continue its offensive surge in 2024 and contend for a spot in the top 12. Other strong now-power conference schools going into this season include Air Force, Boise State, and South Florida.
Challenges and Strategies for Emerging Teams
The path to leveraging this new system is fraught with challenges. Teams will need to fortify their rosters, enhance coaching strategies, and navigate a grueling season where every game could influence their playoff fate. The focus will be on not just making it to the playoffs but making an impact, necessitating a shift in everything from recruitment to game-day execution.
Conclusion
The introduction of a 12-team playoff in college football is more than a structural change; it’s a cultural shift that invites teams from all backgrounds to aspire to national prominence. The 2024 season will be a pivotal moment for programs like the New Mexico Lobos and others positioned outside the traditional power structures. It’s an invitation to every underdog team to rise to the occasion, potentially changing the narrative of college football in enduring ways.
As the season approaches, the excitement builds not just for the powerhouses but for every team in the NCAA, promising a season filled with unexpected turns and breakthrough performances. This is the dawn of a new era in college football, where every team has a shot at the title, making the sport more unpredictable and thrilling than ever.