As NFL fans know, ranking quarterbacks is always a hot topic of debate, especially as the 2024 season is just around the corner.
This isn’t just about listing players from best to worst; it’s about categorizing them into tiers based on performance and potential. With a fresh rookie class and some veteran exits, this year feels different. Each quarterback’s placement reflects not only their past performances but also the potential for growth.
Tier 1: The Big Four
- Patrick Mahomes: An undeniable force in the league, Mahomes continues to set the standard for quarterback performance. As a two-time Super Bowl champion, his unique ability to make plays under pressure, combined with his innovative arm talent, keeps him at the pinnacle of the NFL.
- Lamar Jackson: With his second MVP title under his belt, Jackson has silenced critics questioning his ranking among the elite quarterbacks. His incredible dual-threat capability and ability to extend plays with his legs make him a nightmare for defenses, firmly securing his Tier 1 status.
- Josh Allen: Despite ongoing scrutiny following another season of playoff disappointment, Allen remains a premier talent. This year, faced with the challenge of adapting without top target Stefon Diggs, he’ll need to prove his versatility to maintain his elite standing in the league.
- Jalen Hurts: Following a year of inconsistency, Hurts transitions into a fresh scheme under Kellen Moore. With heightened scrutiny after his Super Bowl appearance, proving his worth this season is crucial for silencing critics and restoring faith in his leadership with the Eagles. Hurts is surrounded by lots of great weapons to help him excel, including A.J. Brown, Saquan Barkley, and DeVonta Smith.
Tier 2: Could Join Them Next Year
- Joe Burrow: Burrow’s slide into Tier 2 raises eyebrows, particularly given his talent and leadership. If he can dodge injury setbacks and showcase his elite skills consistently, he may very well rejoin the top tier, potentially forming a “Big Five” elite class.
- J. Stroud: Stroud had an impressive rookie season, showing remarkable composure and skill. With the Texans bolstering their roster around him, including the addition of Stefon Diggs, another strong performance in 2024 could see him break into the upper echelon of quarterbacks. The C.J. Stroud player odds for 2024 are certainly worth keeping an eye on.
- Jordan Love: Love stands at a crossroads in his career and is perceived as Green Bay’s next franchise quarterback. Despite previous doubts from management, the upside is significant with a talented supporting cast. His potential leap hinges on harnessing that talent effectively this 2024 NFL season.
Tier 3: Sneaky Upside/High-Level Starters
- Matthew Stafford: Stafford, now in the later stages of his career, demonstrated impressive playmaking abilities with the Rams when healthy. What makes Stafford dangerous heading into 2024 is the weapons at his disposal. The Rams arguably have the best 1-2 WR corps in football with Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua.
- Jared Goff: Goff is emerging as a serious MVP contender, particularly as the Lions consistently improve. With an elite offensive line and a talented group of receivers, including Amon-Ra St. Brown, his indoor games could lead to standout performances this season.
- Brock Purdy: Often underestimated, Purdy has the potential to surprise critics who label him just a game manager. His ascent as a former last pick in the draft indicates he can elevate his play, pushing the 49ers closer to their elusive Super Bowl victory.
- Justin Herbert: With the arrival of Jim Harbaugh as head coach, there’s a strategic pivot for Herbert and the Chargers. While he might sacrifice some flashy stats for improved efficiency through a run-heavy approach, Harbaugh’s winning mentality could help Herbert shine where it truly counts.
- Dak Prescott: Prescott’s previous season showcased his capabilities under Mike McCarthy, with CeeDee Lamb turning into a top receiver. This year presents an opportunity for continued growth as both he and the team look to capitalize on contract-year performances amid high expectations.
Tier 4: Intrigue with Question Marks
- Trevor Lawrence: Fresh off a significant contract, Lawrence needs to rebound from a lackluster previous season. If he can elevate his game significantly in 2024, he may just creep up into the second tier, proving his value to the Jaguars.
- Aaron Rodgers: At 40 and recovering from a torn Achilles, Rodgers presents considerable uncertainty. While his experience and talent are undeniable, the question remains: can he return to form and lead the Jets effectively in a competitive AFC?
- Tua Tagovailoa: Tua has shown flashes of brilliance, but consistency remains an issue. With doubts lingering from the Dolphins’ front office about committing long-term, proving himself in crucial games this season will be vital for his future.
- Anthony Richardson: The dynamic rookie dazzled in limited action but faced injuries that cut his first season short. Staying healthy is critical for Richardson in 2024; if he can manage a full season, his dual-threat potential could shine.
- Will Levis: With a new coaching staff and upgraded offensive weapons, Levis is poised for a breakout year. However, skepticism remains, as the potential for him to either rise or struggle under pressure is equally plausible.
- Kyler Murray: After a tumultuous 2023 season where he missed half of the season, Murray looks to bounce back with the Cardinals, especially with a new weapon to throw to in Marvin Harrison Jr. Murray’s desire to prove critics wrong could ignite a resurgence, making him a player to watch in 2024.
Tier 5: You Can Win With Them
- Baker Mayfield: Heading into 2024, Mayfield is a more confident quarterback after a comeback season in 2023. With weapons like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin at his disposal, another strong season is within reach if the offensive line holds up.
- Geno Smith: Smith continues to be a steady presence for the Seahawks, showcasing a mix of experience and talent. With a dynamic receiving trio that includes DK Metcalf, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Tyler Lockett, he could further elevate his game, potentially leading Seattle into the playoffs.
- Kirk Cousins: Now in a new environment post-ACL injury, Cousins has the potential to excel in Atlanta’s offensive system, predominantly if his recovery goes well. Surrounded by a wealth of attacking options, his leadership could reinvigorate the team.
- Derek Carr: As he transitions to New Orleans, Carr’s experience and connection with Chris Olave may unlock the offense’s potential. However, the ceiling appears constrained compared to other quarterbacks in similar situations, making this a pivotal year for him.
- Gardner Minshew: After signing with Las Vegas, Minshew is set to start, following a promising stint as a backup last season. While he’ll need to manage expectations in a run-heavy offense, his previous performances have shown he can deliver when called upon.
Tier 6: Backs Against the Wall
- Bryce Young: Young’s expectations are heavy in his second year. As the former No. 1 pick, he’s got to step up behind a revamped offensive line and improved weapons. Success is essential for his long-term future in Carolina. New head coach Dave Canales, who helped revitalize Geno Smith and Baker Mayfield’s career, might be just what Young needs.
- Deshaun Watson: Watson’s tenure with the Browns has raised eyebrows due to injuries and underwhelming performances post-trade. While his guaranteed contract affords him some security, the pressure to justify Cleveland’s investment mounts; poor performance could lead to serious repercussions.
- Russell Wilson: Making the veteran minimum with Pittsburgh, Wilson aims for redemption after a tumultuous stint in Denver. The former superstar must find his form again, especially with young talent like Justin Fields lurking, ready to capitalize on any slip-up.
- Daniel Jones: Jones is in a pivotal season with the Giants, facing the prospect of uncertainty if he falters. Boasting a promising 2022, the question remains: can he replicate that form? A solid year could solidify his position, while failure could have him searching for a new team.